{"id":3318,"date":"2020-05-11T17:42:05","date_gmt":"2020-05-11T17:42:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/?p=3318"},"modified":"2020-05-11T17:42:07","modified_gmt":"2020-05-11T17:42:07","slug":"earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Earth\u2019s Support Capacity: Flatten the curve, save the world?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dear reader,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I hope you are well!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a few months now, the entire world has been experiencing isolation, a passive yet active fight to be safe, to protect the ones we care about, the ones we don\u2019t even know and the ones working in the front lines \u2013 all staff from the health care system. We wonder, we have anxiety, we check every day for information to verify if the corona curve is decreasing, and we hope that the odds be ever in our favour. We are living in a historical moment, a pandemic that makes us reflect on ourselves, our world and our role as capable agents of change. Despite trying to carry on with our daily routines, that curve repeatedly comes to the forefront of our minds! Has that ever happened to you? Or is it just me? Indeed, we are mainly talking about the corona curve, but there is another curve that also concerns us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/flowingdata.com\/2020\/03\/09\/flatten-the-coronavirus-curve\/?fbclid=IwAR3sG7Mkre45ZOQMH-xwWhKZzgRF6PJfydjezgPR8mS8BJ-DuwNqBHTjdUM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P00.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3322\" width=\"427\" height=\"360\"\/><\/a><figcaption>Figure 1: Flatten the corona curve<br>Credits: <a href=\"https:\/\/flowingdata.com\/2020\/03\/09\/flatten-the-coronavirus-curve\/?fbclid=IwAR3sG7Mkre45ZOQMH-xwWhKZzgRF6PJfydjezgPR8mS8BJ-DuwNqBHTjdUM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alexander Radtke<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In 1798, Thomas Malthus, an English renowned economist, wrote a book entitled \u201cAn Essay on the Principle of Population\u201d. In this book, he addresses many subjects about human beings, their mindset, society, economy, resources and even issues of the heart. But the first and principal thesis of what his book is about is, as he well states, the great concern that \u201cthe power of population is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man\u201d. Meaning that as population grows in a geometrical ratio (exponential now) and subsistence (resources) is produced in an arithmetical ratio, the system will more than likely collapse! Does that sound familiar?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, people everywhere have been asked to #StayAtHome, #BleibZuhause, and governments have decreed the quarantine as a measure of containment. These efforts are not only for people to not get contaminated by the coronavirus, but also because the health care system has a LIMITED capacity to support a determined number of sick people. It is the same with our planet. Planet Earth is a whole system that has FINITE resources, a limited support capacity, where the Law of Conservation of Mass, highlighted by Antoine Lavoisier in 1789, conducts the harmony of Earth\u2019s Symphony as nothing is created, nothing is lost, everything is transformed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P02-1024x551.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3319\" width=\"508\" height=\"273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P02-1024x551.png 1024w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P02-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P02-768x413.png 768w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P02.png 1057w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 508px) 100vw, 508px\" \/><figcaption>Figure 2: Overpopulation<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>As many individuals seek to have their personal needs met, lacking awareness towards others, neither to the planet\u2019s finite system and not even to future generations, we are led to the \u201cTragedy of the commons\u201d as discoursed by Garrett Hardin in 1968. In his article, Hardin uses the analogy of a pasture open to all herdsman, who will try to maintain the highest number of their cattle there. At first, the pasture is able to provide the needs of the cattle. However, as years pass by, the \u201cday of the reckoning\u201d comes. Hardin defines that day as the time when each herdsman seeks to maximise his profits, so he adds more cattle to the pasture. And it only takes one person for the others to follow. As they add more cattle, the pasture finally reaches a tipping point, being unable to provide further resources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Planet Earth could be considered the pasture in the tragedy of the commons. Then, the \u201cherdsmen\u201d refer to both each individual as well as the companies and the production system that exist within. The arguments of Malthus (1798) and Hardin (1968) focus on population growth and human reproduction, which led to the conclusion of \u201cthe necessity of abandoning the freedom to breed\u201d. This is because, as Hardin states: \u201ca finite world can support only a finite population: therefore, population growth must eventually equal zero\u201d. (Calm down! Stop the conspiracy theories about eliminating a percentage of the world\u2019s population! We are not in an Avengers movie and Thanos doesn\u2019t exist!).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back to reality\u2026 \u00a0It is a fact that the planet cannot sustain so many people, and the situation will be aggravated even more if the population continues to grow at an exponential rate. Besides the population, the pressure on natural resources is intensified highly by the production system that overexploits them. A system that harvests in destruction, expendability and unceasing exploration, resulting in a considerable alteration of the environment, extinction and pollution. Our lifestyles are a by-product of the consumerism culture that we live in and of this exacerbated production system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P03-1024x445.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3320\" width=\"384\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P03-1024x445.png 1024w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P03-300x130.png 300w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P03-768x334.png 768w, https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P03.png 1236w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 384px) 100vw, 384px\" \/><figcaption>Figure 3: We have a choice to make<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Therefore, to flatten the exploitation of natural resources curve \u2013 that surpasses the limited support capacity of the planet \u2013, a development founded in sustainability is crucial. There are several roles in this game. We, as <em>consumers<\/em>, have a voice to demand, choose and re-think how much we <em>consume<\/em> and the responsibility to act in favour of the planet. In 1968, Hardin said: \u201cEducation can counteract the natural tendency to do the wrong thing, but the inexorable succession of generations requires that the basis for this knowledge be constantly refreshed\u201d. I will leave you here with some food for thought: Have you ever questioned your lifestyle? How much do you really need? Are you ready to flatten the curve?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We only have one Earth. How many planets are required to support your current lifestyle? The answer for this can be discovered by calculating the Ecological Footprint on the link below:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.footprintcalculator.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.footprintcalculator.org\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Let us know about your results and thoughts on the comments section!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 All the best!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>References:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tragedy of the Commons:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/sci\/162\/3859\/1243.full.pdf.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/sci\/162\/3859\/1243.full.pdf.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thomas Malthus:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.esp.org\/books\/malthus\/population\/malthus.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">http:\/\/www.esp.org\/books\/malthus\/population\/malthus.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dear reader, I hope you are well! For a few months now, the entire world has been experiencing isolation, a passive yet active fight to be safe, to protect the ones we care about, the ones we don\u2019t even know and the ones working in the front lines \u2013 all staff from the health care [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><div class=\"ShariffHeadline\">Share this<\/div><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-round orientation-horizontal buttonsize-small\"><li class=\"shariff-button facebook shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#4273c8\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fglobalchangeecology.com%2F2020%2F05%2F11%2Fearths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world%2F\" title=\"Share on Facebook\" aria-label=\"Share on Facebook\" role=\"button\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\"; background-color:#3b5998; color:#fff\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"shariff-icon\" style=\"\"><svg width=\"32px\" height=\"20px\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 18 32\"><path fill=\"#3b5998\" d=\"M17.1 0.2v4.7h-2.8q-1.5 0-2.1 0.6t-0.5 1.9v3.4h5.2l-0.7 5.3h-4.5v13.6h-5.5v-13.6h-4.5v-5.3h4.5v-3.9q0-3.3 1.9-5.2t5-1.8q2.6 0 4.1 0.2z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"shariff-button twitter shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#595959\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fglobalchangeecology.com%2F2020%2F05%2F11%2Fearths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world%2F&text=Earth%E2%80%99s%20Support%20Capacity%3A%20Flatten%20the%20curve%2C%20save%20the%20world%3F\" title=\"Share on X\" aria-label=\"Share on X\" role=\"button\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\"; background-color:#000; color:#fff\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"shariff-icon\" style=\"\"><svg width=\"32px\" height=\"20px\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\"><path fill=\"#000\" d=\"M14.258 10.152L23.176 0h-2.113l-7.747 8.813L7.133 0H0l9.352 13.328L0 23.973h2.113l8.176-9.309 6.531 9.309h7.133zm-2.895 3.293l-.949-1.328L2.875 1.56h3.246l6.086 8.523.945 1.328 7.91 11.078h-3.246zm0 0\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"shariff-button info shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#eee\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ct.de\/-2467514\" title=\"More information\" aria-label=\"More information\" role=\"button\" rel=\"noopener \" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\"; background-color:#fff; color:#fff\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"shariff-icon\" style=\"\"><svg width=\"32px\" height=\"20px\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 11 32\"><path fill=\"#999\" d=\"M11.4 24v2.3q0 0.5-0.3 0.8t-0.8 0.4h-9.1q-0.5 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-2.3q0-0.5 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h1.1v-6.8h-1.1q-0.5 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-2.3q0-0.5 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h6.8q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.4 0.8v10.3h1.1q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.3 0.8zM9.2 3.4v3.4q0 0.5-0.4 0.8t-0.8 0.4h-4.6q-0.4 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-3.4q0-0.4 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h4.6q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.4 0.8z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":3321,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[51,406,410,416,407,418,122,417,411,412,408,409,413,414,204,415],"class_list":["post-3318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-change","tag-corona-curve","tag-earth","tag-ecological-footprint","tag-flatten-the-curve","tag-green","tag-green-citizens","tag-lifestyle","tag-natural-resources","tag-overexploitation","tag-overpopulation","tag-planet","tag-production","tag-production-system","tag-society","tag-time-to-change","gallery-content-unit"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Earth\u2019s Support Capacity: Flatten the curve, save the world? - Global Change Ecology<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Earth\u2019s Support Capacity: Flatten the curve, save the world? - Global Change Ecology\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dear reader, I hope you are well! For a few months now, the entire world has been experiencing isolation, a passive yet active fight to be safe, to protect the ones we care about, the ones we don\u2019t even know and the ones working in the front lines \u2013 all staff from the health care [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Global Change Ecology\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/GCE.Bayreuth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-05-11T17:42:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-05-11T17:42:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P01.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1068\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Everton Souza da Silva\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@gcebayreuth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@gcebayreuth\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Everton Souza da Silva\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Everton Souza da Silva\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/#\/schema\/person\/b4699917e70acca42a982f2a08a64554\"},\"headline\":\"Earth\u2019s Support Capacity: Flatten the curve, save the world?\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-05-11T17:42:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-05-11T17:42:07+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\"},\"wordCount\":943,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/A02_P01.png\",\"keywords\":[\"change\",\"corona curve\",\"earth\",\"ecological footprint\",\"flatten the curve\",\"green\",\"green citizens\",\"lifestyle\",\"natural resources\",\"overexploitation\",\"overpopulation\",\"planet\",\"production\",\"production system\",\"society\",\"time to change\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Opinion\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/globalchangeecology.com\/2020\/05\/11\/earths-support-capacity-flatten-the-curve-save-the-world\/\",\"name\":\"Earth\u2019s Support Capacity: Flatten the curve, save the world? 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